Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.064571 0.071370 0.078803 0.087571 0.097681 0.109032 0.122823
2024-10-20 0.053970 0.063141 0.073968 0.087853 0.105415 0.127210 0.156818
2024-10-27 0.046359 0.056601 0.069427 0.086998 0.110986 0.143436 0.192215
2024-11-03 0.041600 0.052599 0.067063 0.088034 0.118662 0.163512 0.237836
2024-11-10 0.037965 0.049414 0.065100 0.088979 0.126003 0.184302 0.290373
2024-11-17 0.034708 0.046257 0.062626 0.088589 0.130982 0.202202 0.343551
2024-11-24 0.032407 0.044136 0.061287 0.089562 0.138085 0.225004 0.413679
2024-12-01 0.030484 0.042326 0.060136 0.090556 0.145246 0.249449 0.496900
2024-12-08 0.028780 0.040654 0.058970 0.091281 0.151942 0.274556 0.593005
2024-12-15 0.027129 0.038899 0.057460 0.091152 0.156930 0.297357 0.694922
2024-12-22 0.025482 0.037004 0.055518 0.089967 0.159571 0.315646 0.794534
2024-12-29 0.024539 0.036151 0.055214 0.091714 0.168501 0.351168 0.971166
2025-01-05 0.023085 0.034374 0.053208 0.090058 0.170024 0.369317 1.104132
2025-01-12 0.022158 0.033407 0.052531 0.090919 0.177385 0.405558 1.341076
2025-01-19 0.021092 0.032127 0.051183 0.090261 0.181111 0.433074 1.570893
2025-01-26 0.020376 0.031395 0.050760 0.091449 0.189566 0.478161 1.947406
2025-02-02 0.019698 0.030678 0.050297 0.092485 0.197883 0.526528 2.423908
2025-02-09 0.018897 0.029691 0.049239 0.092092 0.202380 0.563997 2.904337
2025-02-16 0.018325 0.029076 0.048843 0.093125 0.211035 0.621110 3.679130
2025-02-23 0.017795 0.028501 0.048475 0.094175 0.220018 0.684614 4.723189
2025-03-02 0.017271 0.027903 0.048011 0.094939 0.228378 0.750696 6.083719
2025-03-09 0.016691 0.027167 0.047212 0.094804 0.233985 0.808155 7.651732
2025-03-16 0.016042 0.026267 0.046015 0.093556 0.235816 0.848974 9.235343